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#7 - Dr Friederike Otto special - Real Time Attribution

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This week I was super lucky to hear from Dr Friederike Otto and this post is entirely inspired by our discussion. Lead scientist on the international project   World Weather Attribution  (WWA) – Dr.Otto aims to speed up the analysis and communication of the impact climate change has on extreme weather events under a new science: Real Time Attribution . Dr Friederike Otto So isn’t this essentially EEA? – Indeed this science follows the same principles we discussed in EEA, but it just tries to do so far more rapidly. Dr.Otto then directed me to the incredible  overview of the real-time peer-reviewed studies they have already done , and I suggest you take 30 seconds to have a quick scroll (all open-access and on the website). She said that not all the listed studies were real-time, so to check out the European heat waves, floods in Paris, storm Desmond and the Kenyan and Somalian drought (…remember this from last week?) One thing we ...

#13 Reflection

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It may have only been a short 3 months, but I already feel a sense of nostalgia looking back over the weeks. For me, this was far more than a journey of “getting to know my topic well”. I started out thinking I would be able to explore different weather events every week, the “exciting stuff” like tornadoes and hurricanes. By the third week, I realised this would not work. I was stressed and worried that I would have no strong thread, no idea what was actually going on in the weather world. A month in is where it all changed for me. I didn’t know that from sending one email to Dr.Otto that I would spend the next 10 weeks inspired and hopeful. I found an outstanding yet humbling sense of community in the extreme weather world. I had no idea that my entire source of inspiration for the coming posts wouldn’t actually be scrolling through google-scholar. Instead I was following up scholar twitter retweets, following leads in newspaper articles, and for me, the most amazing part, was ...

#12 LINK TO LIVE-STREAMING OF THE JULIANA v. US CASE

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This is a link to the on-going case mentioned a couple of posts ago , starts in 90 minutes if you're interested!! Meteorologist Eric Holthaus tweet on Juliana v. US

#11 Real-impact Attribution

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Imagine instead of attributing meteorological events, the attribution community could also assess real impacts? Dr.Otto introduced this to me as “ another interesting frontier” where the aim is “not to attribute meteorological events but real impacts” that the community are hoping to work on more, or “do at all”. She added that “there are very few publications as it’s rather tricky to do this in a robust way” but linked me up with some that had been published. Remember way back in post 4  we looked at the 2003 Extreme Heat Wave that hit Europe and was responsible for up to 70,000 deaths. This paper claims to be different because it: "explicitly quantifies" the role of human activity on heat-related mortality in an event attribution framework. Brighton Beach? - 2003 - 38.5 degrees What was discovered?! Anthropogenic climate change: Increased the risk of heat mortality by 70 percent in central Paris, and 20 percent in London (which had experie...

#10 While England freezes...Greenland sweats

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A"Monster Heat Wave" hits Greenland  - check this out! Temperatures "skyrocketed" above freezing in areas of northern Greenland, but I'm talking 750 miles north (aka within) the Artic Circle! - Bearing in mind England had sub-zero temperatures just this week… - The heat-wave is expected to be a result of climate change  increasingatmospheric and sea-surface temperature s, as well as La Nina contributing to a  northwardshift  of the jet stream pushing even more warm air into the U.S.A. Climate Analyzer 2017 The Weather Channel, 2017